Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.195451 0.220329 0.246584 0.276299 0.308938 0.343638 0.383259
2025-06-08 0.160957 0.194319 0.231497 0.275801 0.326950 0.383936 0.452008
2025-06-15 0.140001 0.179268 0.225095 0.282103 0.350656 0.429961 0.528131
2025-06-22 0.120965 0.163505 0.215285 0.282222 0.365656 0.465381 0.592656
2025-06-29 0.105740 0.150266 0.206594 0.281982 0.379002 0.498341 0.654745
2025-07-06 0.093310 0.138973 0.198849 0.281575 0.391162 0.529465 0.715029
2025-07-13 0.084449 0.131330 0.194845 0.285152 0.407906 0.566371 0.783395
2025-07-20 0.078281 0.126658 0.194180 0.292696 0.429714 0.610163 0.861777
2025-07-27 0.071253 0.119936 0.189921 0.294646 0.443582 0.643533 0.927169
2025-08-03 0.066489 0.116052 0.189242 0.301291 0.463845 0.685833 1.005527
2025-08-10 0.062521 0.112954 0.189343 0.308810 0.485357 0.730268 1.087893
2025-08-17 0.056751 0.106398 0.183659 0.307246 0.493453 0.756021 1.144965
2025-08-24 0.051613 0.100520 0.178760 0.306801 0.503495 0.785402 1.208955
2025-08-31 0.046888 0.094856 0.173725 0.305718 0.512352 0.813200 1.271416
2025-09-07 0.044168 0.092407 0.173650 0.312289 0.532895 0.858451 1.360097
2025-09-14 0.040482 0.087834 0.169672 0.312259 0.543102 0.888635 1.427589
2025-09-21 0.037112 0.083487 0.165712 0.311913 0.552610 0.917865 1.494284
2025-09-28 0.034050 0.079403 0.161862 0.311425 0.561697 0.946539 1.560726
2025-10-05 0.031928 0.076940 0.160673 0.315290 0.577818 0.986282 1.644689
2025-10-12 0.030587 0.075920 0.161993 0.323477 0.601209 1.037819 1.747744
2025-10-19 0.028532 0.073198 0.159952 0.325589 0.614507 1.073847 1.827825
2025-10-26 0.027281 0.072062 0.160789 0.332805 0.636534 1.124140 1.931047
2025-11-02 0.026223 0.071238 0.162148 0.340970 0.660381 1.177877 2.040798